An option is a contract whose payoff depends on a stock, and the insight that priced it is that the payoff can be manufactured by trading the stock and a bond in the right proportions. If a portfolio of stock and bond reproduces the option's value at every instant, then by absence of arbitrage the option must cost what the portfolio costs, and the proportions are dictated by Ito's formula. Eliminating the randomness from the hedged portfolio leaves a partial differential equation for the option value, the Black-Scholes equation, whose solution is the price. This post derives the equation and solves it [1], [2]. The stock follows the geometric Brownian motion , and a riskless bond grows at rate , .
#The hedging argument
Throughout we assume and are constant, the stock pays no dividends, and the market is frictionless with continuous trading and unrestricted shorting. A European option pays a function of the terminal price at a fixed expiry , and under the Markov dynamics of the geometric Brownian motion its no-arbitrage value before then is a function of time and the current stock price. Apply Ito's formula to track how evolves.
If is the value of an option on the stock and is twice differentiable, then absence of arbitrage forces the Black-Scholes equation
with the terminal condition equal to the option's payoff. Among solutions of linear growth, , the price is the unique one, which is what makes the risk-neutral representation of Theorem 2 the solution rather than merely a solution.
By the Ito formula applied to with and quadratic variation ,
Form the delta-hedged portfolio holding one option short one of stock, and choose . Read it as an admissible self-financing strategy in stock and bond, so the cost of rebalancing is borne by the bond holding and the cross terms are absorbed there rather than entering . Its increment is then , and substituting Equation (2) the stochastic terms cancel,
a purely deterministic increment. A self-financing portfolio whose instantaneous return is deterministic must, on pain of arbitrage against the bond, earn the riskless rate, . Equating the two expressions for and cancelling ,
which rearranges to Equation (1). At expiry the option is worth its payoff, the terminal condition.
The drift has vanished from Equation (1), replaced everywhere by . The hedge removes not only the risk but the expected return, so the price depends only on volatility, the one feature it cannot cancel.
#Risk-neutral pricing
The disappearance of is the analytic face of a change of probability. Under the risk-neutral measure obtained by the Girsanov theorem, the stock drifts at rather than , and the solution of the Black-Scholes equation is a discounted expectation.
The solution of Equation (1) with terminal payoff is , the expectation taken under the measure where .
The change of measure that turns into is the Girsanov transformation with the constant market price of risk . Since is constant, , so Novikov's condition holds, the density is a true martingale, defines an equivalent measure, and is a -Brownian motion under which . Applying Ito and Equation (1) to the discounted value,
the drift killed by the Black-Scholes equation. This is a priori only a local martingale; it is a true martingale once the integrand is square-integrable, , which holds under the linear-growth bound on (for the call ). A true martingale equals the conditional expectation of its terminal value on the filtration, . Since is a time-homogeneous Markov process under , the expectation of a function of depends on only through , so , and multiplying by gives the discounted expectation.
#The Black-Scholes formula
For a call the payoff is , and the expectation is a lognormal integral with a closed form.
The value of a European call with strike and expiry is, writing ,
where is the standard normal distribution function.
Under the solution of the stock equation is with a standard normal, so exactly when . By Theorem 2,
where is the standard normal density. Since (the lognormal first moment), is integrable and the integral splits into two finite pieces. The term integrates to by . For the term, completing the square turns , so
the exponential prefactors collapsing to and . Subtracting gives Equation (6).
The formula prices the call from five inputs, the stock price, the strike, the time, the rate, and the volatility, of which only volatility is unobserved, so option markets quote volatility. The hedge ratio is , the delta, the amount of stock the replicating portfolio holds, and following it continuously is the trading strategy that manufactures the option. The Black-Scholes equation is the meeting point of the whole curriculum, the Ito formula supplying the dynamics, the change of measure supplying the risk-neutral expectation, the Gaussian supplying the lognormal integral, and the absence of arbitrage supplying the principle, the abstract machinery of stochastic analysis resolving into a formula a trader can evaluate.